Electoral violence and democratic consolidation in Nigeria: a case of the 2023 general election in Edo state
Keywords:
Democratic Consolidation, Election, Electoral Violence, Edo State, General ElectionAbstract
The 2023 general election served as a critical litmus test for how far Nigeria’s democratic experiment has consolidated. However, it presented persistent challenges, including violence. This study investigated the connection between electoral violence and democratic consolidation in Edo State in the context of the 2023 general elections in Nigeria. The study utilised a survey research design that prioritised a questionnaire instrument to draw data from 2,043 respondents from the three selected LGAs: Esan Northeast (Edo Central), Etsako-East (Edo North) and Oredo. The entire study was anchored on the theory of structural functionalism, which posits that strong political structures enhance a credible and transparent election process, while weak institutions are instruments for electoral violence and bad governance. The results provide compelling empirical evidence that electoral violence remains a critical obstacle to democratic consolidation in Nigeria. The findings revealed that the triggers of electoral violence in the state during the election period were the quest for power, poverty, financial corruption, and illiteracy, suggesting that electoral violence remains a critical factor in Nigeria’s democratic process despite reforms. The study further revealed that electoral violence erodes public trust and confidence in elections, weakens political institutions, discourages political participation and constrains the growth of opposition politics. The findings further highlight that electoral violence is both a symptom and a driver of institutional and structural challenges, such as weak political institutions, elite manipulation, a weak rule of law and an intense political competitive atmosphere of winner-takes-all. The study, therefore, recommends that there is a need to strengthen the independence of the Independent Electoral Commission (INEC), ensure strict enforcement of electoral laws to deter future electoral violence during elections, promote sustained voter education to enhance democratic values, and address prevailing socio-economic drivers of violence in Nigeria.
References
Abdulai, A. G., and Crawford, G. (2010). Consolidating democracy in Ghana: Progress and prospects? Democratisation, 17(1), 26-67.
Abutudu, M. (Ed) (2014). Political parties and elections in Nigeria’s fourth republic. Jos: Vintage Art Gallery Ltd.
ACLED (2023). Political violence and the 2023 Nigerian election, February 23. https://acleddata.com/2023/02/22/political-violence-and-the-2023-nigerian-election/
Adeosun, A. B. (2014). Democracy and democratic consolidation in Nigerian fourth republic: Issues and challenges. IOSR Journal of Humanities and Social Science, 19 (10), 05-10
Adesote, A. S. and Abimbola, J. O. (2014). Electoral violence and the survival of democracy in Nigeria’s fourth republic: A historical perspective. Canadian Social Science, 10(3), 140-148
Agbaje, A., and Adejumobi, S. (2016). Electoral violence and democratic consolidation in Nigeria: An empirical analysis. Journal of African Studies, 7(2), 89-104.
Aigbokhaevbo, V. O. (2023). The poverty quotient of electoral violence in Nigeria. Independent, March 26. https://independent.ng/the-poverty-quotient-of-electoral-violence-in-nigeria/
Akhaine, S. O. (2020). Balance of power and politics in Edo Central. The Guardian, 24 December. https://guardian.ng/politics/balance-of-power-and-politics-in-edo-central/
Akin, P.M. (2025). Electoral violence: The bane of democratic consolidation in Nigeria. Babcock Journal of History and International Studies, 7 (1), 69-90
Akindele, S. T. (2011). Electoral violence and democratic consolidation in Nigeria: The challenges and prospects. Journal of Social Science and Public Policy, 3(1), 45-58.
Akinyetun, T.S., and Ebonine, V.C. (2023). Digital democracy and democratic decline: Unpacking the role of digitalization in undermining democracy in Africa. African Journal of Democracy and Election Research, 3(1), 159-191
Albert, I. (2007). Reconceptualising electoral violence in Nigeria. In Albert, I, Marco, D. and Adetula, V (eds). Perspectives on the 2003 elections in Nigeria. Abuja: Idasa and Stirling-Hopkins Publishers.
Ameh-Ogigo, J.A. (2025). Electoral violence and democratic consolidation in Nigeria. Kashere Journal of Politics and International Relations, 3(1), 36-49
Amoah, F.K (2022). Multi-party electoral violence and democratic development of the Jirapa Municipality (Unpublished Master's Thesis, University for Development Studies, Tamale)
Arase, S. (2022). Elections and the role of the Nigeria Police Force in the electoral process. Energy Focus Reports, 7 October. https://www.energyfocusreport.com/elections-and-the-role-of-the-nigeria-police-force-in-the-electoral-process
Ashindorbe, K. (2018). Electoral violence and the challenge of democratic consolidation in Nigeria. India Quarterly, 74(1): 92–105.
Bardall, G.S. (2016). Voices, votes and violence: Essays on select dynamics of electoral authoritarian regimes. https://papyrus.bib.umontreal.ca/xmlui/handle/1866/
Beetham, D. (1994). Conditions for democratic consolidation. Review of African Political Economy, 21(60), 157-172.
Centre for Democracy and Development [CDD] (2018). Nigerian electoral trends. Abuja, Nigeria: CDD
Chilcott, J. (1998). Structural-functionalism as a heuristic device. Anthropology
and Education Quarterly, 29(1), 103-111.
CLEEN Foundation (2023). Press statement issued by Cleen Foundation ahead of the rescheduled 2023 governorship and state assembly elections. https://cleen.org/2023/03/16/press-statement-issued-by-cleen-foundation-ahead-of-the-rescheduled-2023-governorship-and-state-assembly-elections/
Department for International Development [DFID] (2018). Edo State Economic Outlook and Investment Scan Report, Monograph Series, 17. https://pindfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/Edo-State-Economic-Outlook-and-Investment-Scan-report.pdf
Dinneya, G.E., and Tsegay, A. (2004). Constructing a cardinal measure of democratic development in a transition polity: The Nigerian example. Canadian Journal of Political Science, 37(2), 347-373
Ebohon, S. I. (2012). The state in the Nigerian project: An empirical theoretic audit. In Imobighe, T.A. and Ebohon, S.I. (eds.). Themes and issues in Nigerian governance and politics. Kuru, Nigeria: National Institute for Policy and Strategic Studies (NIPSS).
Egobiambu, E. (2023). 2023 presidential election worst in Nigeria’s recent history, says Peter Obi’, Channels, https://www.channelstv.com/2023/03/16/2023-presidential-election-worst-in-nigerias-recent-history-says-peter-obi/
Egobueze, A., and Ojirika, C. (2017). Electoral violence in Nigeria’s fourth republic: Implications for political stability. Journal of Scientific Research and Reports, 13, 1-11.
Eguegu, O. and Iwara, M.A. (2023). Militarization of elections in Nigeria: A bane of democratic growth. Journal of Mediterranean Basin and African Civilizations, 5(1):5-18. DOI: 10.54132/akaf.1311265
Eludini, T. (2023). #Nigeriadecides2023: Man causes pandemonium with gunshot at Edo polling unit. Premium Times, March 18. https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/more-news/588563-nigeriadecides2023-man-causes-pandemonium-with-gunshot-at-edo-polling-unit.html
EU Election Observation Mission Nigeria General Elections 2019 Final Report (2019). General elections: 23 February, 9 and 23 March. Available at www. Nigeria_2019_eu_eom_final_report.Web.pdf.https://doi.org/10.19044/esj.2021.v17n2p137
European Union Election Observation Mission (2011). Nigeria: Final report on the general elections. http:// www.eueom.eu/files/dmfile/final-report-nigeria2011_en.pdf,
European Union Election Observation Mission (2023). Nigeria: Final report on the general elections. http:// www.eueom.eu/files/dmfile/final-report-nigeria2011_en.pdf,
Eze, O. (2023). Power of incumbency, thuggery undermining electoral process – INEC. New Telegraph, 25 July. https://newtelegraphng.com/power-of-incumbency-thuggery-undermining-electoral-process-inec/
Gasiorowski, M. J. (1988). Economic dependence and political democracy: A cross-national study. Comparative Political Studies, 20(4), 489-515.
Harper, D. (2011). Structural-functionalism: Grand theory or methodology. Leicester: University of Leicester.
Harry, D. M., and Kalagbor, S. B. (2021). Electoral violence and democratic consolidation in Nigeria: Issues and challenges. Advances in Social Sciences Research Journal, 8(7). 140-156.
Helm, P. (1971). Manifest and latent functions. The Philosophical Quarterly,
21(82), 51-60.
Huntington, S. P. (1991). Democracy’s third wave. Journal of Democracy, 2(2), 12-34.
Igwe , D.O. (2012) .The perception of electoral violence and democratization in Ibadan, Oyo State, Southwest Nigeria. Democracy and Security, 8(1): 51-71.
Inokoba, P.K. and Kumokor, I. (2011). Electoral crisis, governance and democratic consolidation in Nigeria. Journal of Social Sciences, 27(2), 139-148.
Inokoba, P.K. and Maliki, A.E. (2011). Youths, electoral violence and democratic consolidation in Nigeria: The Bayelsa State experience. The Anthropologist, 13(3): 217-225.
Ishiyama, J. and Shliek, I. (2020). Rethinking the relationship between inclusive institutions and political violence. Nationalism and Ethnic Politics, 26(3), 240-259
Isiaku, W.B., Obatta, M.I. and Nweke, P.O. (2020). Electoral violence in Nigeria: The role of education. International Journal of Youth Empowerment and Entrepreneurship Development, 2(1), 134-146
Kean, J. (2004). Violence and democracy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Kimpact Development Initiative [KDI] (2020). Historical view and current trend of electoral violence in Edo State, NEVR Fact Sheet 1.
Kohnert, D. (2023). The aftermath of Nigeria's 2023 presidential elections and its impact on the sub-region. Hamburg.
Laasko, L. (2007). Insights into electoral violence in Africa, in Basedau, M., Erdmann, G. and Mehler, A. (eds.). Votes, money and violence: Political parties and elections in Sub-Saharan Africa. Uppsala: Nordiska Afrikainstitutet
Linz, J. J., and Stepan, A. C. (1996). Toward consolidated democracies. Journal of democracy, 7(2), 14-33.
Merton, R. (1949). Social theory and social structure. Glencoe: Free Press.
National Bureau of Statistics [NBS] (2022). Nigeria multidimensional poverty index (2022). Abuja: NBS
National Democratic Institute (2012). 2011 Nigerian elections: Final report. Washington and Abuja: NDI
Njoku, R.C. (2001). Deconstructing Abacha: Demilitarization and democratic consolidation in Nigeria after the Abacha era. Government and Opposition, 36(1), 71-96
Nwolise, O. B C. (2008). Electoral violence and Nigeria’s 2007 elections. Journal of African Elections, 6 (2), 155-179.
Nwozor, A; Oshewolo, S; Ifejika, S.I; Olarenwaju, J.S; and Ake, M. (2021). Has anything changed with illegitimate electoral financing and political power contestation in Nigeria. Cogent for Social Sciences, 7(1), 191396
Obakhedo. N.O. (2011). Curbing electoral violence in Nigeria: The imperative of political education. International Multidisciplinary Journal, 5(5), 99-110.
O'Donnell, G. (1996). Illusions about consolidation. Journal of Democracy, 7, 34-51.
Okechukwu, N. D. (2014). Electoral process and challenges of good governance in the Nigerian state (1999-2011. Journal of Good Governance and Sustainable Development in Africa, 2(3), 11-23
Olutokun, A. (2002). Authoritarian state, crisis of democratization and the underground media in Nigeria. African Affairs, 101(404), 317-342
Omobowale, A.O. (2018). The roots of division, activism, and civil society in Nigeria. International Sociology Reviews, 33(5), 558–567
Omotola, J.S. (2010). Elections and democratic transition in Nigeria under the fourth republic. African Affairs, 109(437), 535-555.
Omoyibo, K.U. and Asekhauno, A. A. (2016). The violence of non-violence and civil disobedience: A psychological inference. Journal of Humanities & Social Sciences, 8, 1746-1753.
Onuoha, F.C., Okafor, J.C., Ojewale, O. and Okoro, C. (2020). Militarisation of the 2019 general elections and electoral integrity in Nigeria. The Round Table, 109(4), 406-418
Przeworski, A. (1991). Democracy and the market: Political and economic reforms in Eastern Europe and Latin America (ch 1). New York: Cambridge University Press.
Radcliffe-Brown, A. (1935). On the concept of function in social science. American Anthropologist, 37(3), 394-402.
Rosenje, M. O. and Adeniyi O. P. (2022). Politics and violence in Nigeria’s democracy: A review of 2020 Edo state gubernatorial elections, FUDMA Journal of Politics and International Affairs, 3(8), 36-57
Schedler, A. (2000). Common sense without common ground: the concept of democratic transition in Mexican politics. Mexican Studies/Estudios Mexicanos, 16(2), 325-345.
Schmitter. P.C. (1992), The consolidation of democracy and representation of social groups. American Behavioural Scientist, 35(4/5), 422–449.
Seiyefa , E. (2017). Elite political culture—a link to political violence: Evidence from Nigeria. African Security, 10(2), 103-130.
Smith, S., and Hamon, R. (2012). Exploring family theories. Oxford University Press.
Stockemer, D. and Amaechi, O.C. (2023). Why do voters accept bribes? Evidence from Edo State in Nigeria. Representation, 60, 303-323.
This Day (2020). An almost violence-free governorship Election in Edo State. Retrieved from http:/// an- almost –violence- free –governorship- election –in- edo- state- html
This Day (2023). Onaiyekan: 2023 elections worst in Nigeria’s history. https://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2023/07/17/onaiyekan-2023-elections-worst-in-nigerias-history
Urry, J. (2000). Sociology beyond societies: Mobilities for the twenty-first century. London: Routledge
Willeck, C. and Mendelberg, T. (2022). Education and political participation. Annual Review of Political Science, 25(1), 89-110
Yahaya, H. and Babatunde, A. (2020). Low voters’ turnout mars 2020 Edo governorship election. Premium Times, Retrieved from https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/more-news/416340-low-voters-turnout-mars-2020-edo-governorship-election.html
Yiaga Africa (2023). Dashed hopes? Yiaga Africa report on the 2023 general election. Abuja: Yiaga Africa